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Blogs about basic information in forex trading, forex participants and how to earn big in forex trading.So much for trading sideways yesterday. What started out as a quiet start to trading ended up with a continuation of last week’s sell-offs in the stock market, as the Dow closed below 10K for the first time this year. However, both gold and oil were up slightly yesterday, showing


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So much for trading sideways yesterday. What started out as a quiet start to trading ended up with a continuation of last week’s sell-offs in the stock market, as the Dow closed below 10K for the first time this year. However, both gold and oil were up slightly yesterday, showing signs that some of the correlations that we often speak of may be breaking down.

This morning, markets are trading higher as hope is coming out of the Euro zone that the other European nations may be coming to help Greece in tackling their budget deficit. As you would expect, this is causing some risk-taking this morning.

Let’s look at what this means for the currencies:

Aussie (AUD): In addition to general risk themes this morning, the Aussie is trading higher as comments from the RBA’s Governor Stevens said that keeping rates low “may help cause bubbles and credit booms.” Also to note that Central bankers from around the globe are meeting in Australia to discuss the fallout from the credit crisis and to proceed going forward. It will be interesting to see if anything of substance comes out of this meeting, or is more of just a show.

Kiwi (NZD): The Kiwi is the largest gainer this morning, up 1.4% vs. JPY and 1.15% vs. USD. Higher commodity prices and risk-taking are fueling buying in the Kiwi. The Kiwi was also one of the biggest losers last week so it is also benefiting from some technical buying, as it holds near-tern support at .68 vs. USD.

Loonie (CAD): As mentioned yesterday, the Loonie is going to trade primarily on risk themes and commodity prices and today is the day that higher prices are lifting the Loonie, which is up against all but the Kiwi and Aussie, assuming its position of “3rd rung” on the risk-taking ladder.

Euro (EUR): The Euro is higher this morning on speculation that Greece is going to be bailed out by the rest of the Euro zone countries. Apparently ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet has left the policy meeting taking place in Australia to return home to conduct EU business. This has lead to traders bidding up the Euro in anticipation of a solution being realized. Also the Euro is benefiting from its status as the “anti-dollar”, which is down today.

Pound (GBP): The bound is down this morning on a weak retail sales report that climbed at its slowest pace in almost 15 years. Traders are positioning themselves ahead of the UK inflation report due out tomorrow which could be weaker than expected if the retail sales figures are indicative of slow UK growth, keeping inflation tame and not giving the BOE any reason to raise rates in the near future.

Dollar (USD): The Dollar is giving back some gains after a going on a four-day tear as the risk aversion was the dominant theme last week. The Dollar is down vs. all but the Yen, and could strengthen to 90 vs. JPY is risk themes hold up today.

Yen (JPY): The Yen is the biggest loser this morning as risk appetite is driving carry trades this morning. Should any news come out of the Euro zone regarding a solution for Greece, then we could see some further depreciation as it would be “game on” for further risk-taking.

This morning is going to be a big open as US stock market futures are significantly higher. The Dow could open up some 100 points and oil and gold are also trading higher, with oil at 72.5 and gold at 1075.

In overnight markets, Asia was up primarily with the exception of the Nikkei which was down slightly, and Europe is currently up across the board on Greece bailout hopes.

Should the market hold onto and not give back gains, then I expect to see further dollar and yen weakness.

To learn more about how you can make money in the currency market, be sure to check out our affordable currency trading courses.

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